Most surveys predicted that the Congress party had a clear advantage in the Jubilee Hills by election. From Naganna Survey to Smart Poll, Public Pulse, Chanakya Strategy and Peoples Pulse, almost every major agency indicated that Congress was ahead. These surveys gained attention soon after polling ended on the eleventh.
In contrast, the KK Survey stood apart by projecting a comfortable win for the BRS. The survey gained strong credibility in the past because it accurately predicted the Andhra Pradesh election results in two thousand twenty four, even stating that the ruling party at the time would fall to a very small number of seats. Later, its predictions for northern state elections also turned out correct. Because of this track record, many believed the KK Survey would once again be accurate.
This time, the KK Survey suggested that BRS would win with a four percent vote margin. Early discussions even claimed that the gap could be much higher. Supporters of BRS placed great confidence in this forecast. Even the party relied on internal assessments that seemed to match this optimistic expectation and assumed that voter sentiment would work in their favour.
However, the actual results were completely different. BRS fell far behind in every round of counting and the final gap crossed sixteen thousand votes. The voter sentiment shifted sharply and unexpectedly, leaving the party with no chance to recover. In the end, most other surveys proved closer to reality, with their predictions favouring the Congress party.
The outcome showed that even strong track records can fail and that voter mood can change in ways no survey fully captures.
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